Outbreak

Outbreak (outbreak.flashpub.io) was a micropublishing journal for infectious disease informatics that closed in 2021. Below is a list of all peer reviewed micropublications posted during its operation. All articles are preserved on the permaweb at Arweave.

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Notable articles

Estimating the effective reproduction number of COVID-19 in North Carolina

Agent-Based Model for Simulation of COVID-19 Spread

Forecasting Covid-19 mortality with age stratified case data

Standard Social Distancing Score

All articles

‍Result of Housing Price Forecasting During COVID 19 Pandemic

COVID-19 Forecast for Chemung County, NY, April 2020

COVID-19 Outbreak Forecast for San Diego County, April 2020

Models of Case Burden, Hospitalizations and ICU Admissions Based on the First 24 Days of COVID-19 Data from San Diego County

Updated COVID-19 Outbreak Forecast for San Diego County, April 2020

Quickstart for SIRD Modeling of the COVID-19 Outbreak

Review of IFR point estimate for France in July 2020

COVID Forecast for Chicago, IL, May 2020

COVID-19 Forecast for San Diego County, April 2020

COVID-19 Forecast for Atlanta, GA, May 2020

COVID-19 Countermeasures Surveys Methodology

COVID-19 Forecast for Atlanta, GA, April 2020

Forecast for a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate showing a 70% or better efficacy

Forecast for a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine being approved in the US or EU.

Forecast of the efficacy of the Oxford/AstraZeneca ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine candidate according to results of Phase II/III testing

Forecast for a COVID-19 therapeutic showing a statistically significant survival benefit for the treatment group in a n>200 RCT

Forecast for the number of vaccine candidates that will be in human trials as of 1 August 2020

Forecast for the first SARS-CoV-2 vaccine to be approved in the US or EU and to be administered to 100k people‍

Incomplete peer review (preprints)

City model of COVID-19 Spread

Outbreak modeling method of Prediction Aggregation